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	<title>Small Stocks &#187; Trading</title>
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		<title>How Short Selling Works</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/how-short-selling-works/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/how-short-selling-works/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 06:31:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smallstocks.com.au/?p=1864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have had a number of people write to me over the last few days asking how exactly short selling works and whether I can provide an example. This is a great question and often confuses many traders and investors alike in the market. The primary reason for this is the logic behind selling and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have had a number of people write to me over the last few days asking how exactly short selling works and whether I can provide an example. This is a great question and often confuses many traders and investors alike in the market. The primary reason for this is the logic behind selling and buying the shares. When most people think about short selling they think about taking a &#8216;short position&#8217; &#8211; that is , a position where they believe the shares are going to fall &#8211; but they aren&#8217;t 100% sure of how the actual process works. A few people seem to be confusing short selling with the logic of &#8220;put options&#8221; &#8211; and in reality they are very different.</p>
<p>Short selling is effectively &#8211; selling what you don&#8217;t own &#8211; to engage in short selling you need to find a person who owns shares and believes that the share is going to rise. In undertaking short selling, you do think that the price is going to fall. You are effectively &#8220;betting against&#8221; people who think its going to rise.</p>
<p>The following example should help to illustrate (please note that are differences between <em>naked short selling</em> and <em>covered short selling</em> which are explained in the link at the bottom of this post<em>)</em> :</p>
<p>1. Fred approaches his stock broker and says &#8220;I want to short sell NAB at current market rate of $20&#8243;<br />
2. The stock broker would approach a large investor who has gone &#8220;long&#8221; on NAB shares and thinks they are going to rise (i.e. the large investor holds a bunch of NAB shares and thinks that they are going to rise)<br />
3. The stock broker effectively &#8220;borrows&#8221; these shares from this investor and sells them at the current market rate &#8211; deriving a cash sum. The broker is now indebted to the investor for X  number of shares and holds cash for Fred.<br />
4. The stock then falls to $18 and Fred wants to cash out and tells his broker.<br />
5. The broker then uses the money from the sale of the shares &#8220;borrowed&#8221; from the large investor, and buys them at a rate of $18.<br />
6. This costs $18 per share and the stock broker then gives the large investor the number of shares borrowed.<br />
7. Fred has made $2 and pays a premium to the stock broker, who would have in turn been charged a premium from the large investor.</p>
<p>So a proper illustrate in a practical sense:</p>
<p>1. Fred &#8220;borrows&#8221; 1000 shares at $20 and immediately sells them at market price earning $20,000<br />
2. Stock falls to $18<br />
3. Fred buys 1000 shares at $18K<br />
4. Fred &#8220;returns&#8221; the &#8220;borrowed&#8221; shares to the &#8220;borrower&#8221;<br />
5. Fred keeps $2K profit<br />
6. Fred&#8217;s $2K has a &#8220;premium borrowing&#8221; charge of 10% &#8211; so he has to pay this for &#8220;borrowing&#8221; the shares &#8211; $200 to the company.<br />
7. Fred Nets $2K &#8211; $200 = $1,800</p>
<p>Obviously, you have to find an investor who is willing to &#8220;lend&#8221; the shares. Most big investors buy shares to go &#8220;long&#8221; not short &#8211; so many are &#8220;hesitant&#8221; to do this. However, the reason they do is that you have to pay a &#8220;premium&#8221; for &#8220;borrowing the shares&#8221;. Of course, the rationale is that big investors are in for the &#8220;long haul&#8221; and short selling is really just to gain from &#8220;short term&#8221; news. To learn more about short selling and the current affects on the ASX &#8211; <a title="How Short Selling Works" href="http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/asx-short-selling-ban-what-does-it-mean-for-you/" target="_blank">read this article</a>.</p>
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		<title>Dows Friday chart</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/definition-of-a-yo-yo-market-dows-fridays-chart/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/definition-of-a-yo-yo-market-dows-fridays-chart/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Oct 2008 03:53:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smallstocks.com.au/news/definition-of-a-yo-yo-market-fridays-chart/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After more than a week of wildly volatile trading days, including Thursday&#8217;s more than 700-point drop on the Jewish Day of Atonement (you can draw your own inferences), Friday saw yo-yo action like never before. Check out the (DJI) chart below:]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After more than a week of wildly volatile trading days, including Thursday&#8217;s more than 700-point drop on the Jewish Day of Atonement (you can draw your own inferences), Friday saw yo-yo action like never before. Check out the <a href="http://sanebull.com/m?symbol=^DJI">(DJI)</a> chart below:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/dow_friday.gif"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1257" title="Dow Friday" src="http://www.smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/dow_friday.gif" alt="" width="480" height="185" /></a></p>
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		<title>A Market Driven by Fear</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/a-market-driven-by-fear/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/a-market-driven-by-fear/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 22:30:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smallstocks.com.au/?p=1105</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dow Jones Industrial Index is down a massive 5,500 points, or 39%, from a year-ago peak on the back of the General Motors Financial Reporting. And yes, you did read that correctly. It&#8217;s now clear that the markets will not stop falling until either the credits markets show a sign of improving by a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Index is down a massive 5,500 points, or 39%, from a year-ago peak on the back of the General Motors Financial Reporting. And yes, you did read that correctly.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s now clear that the markets will not stop falling until either the credits markets show a sign of improving by a flow of liquidity back into the markets, or simply, by equities becoming so cheap &#8211; that investors start buying again. With the world banks reducing interest rates in a co-ordinated effort, the credit markets have improved over the last few days but this may be short lived if investors are going to continue to take a &#8220;sell-all&#8221; attitude.</p>
<p>The big question, of course, on <span><span>everyone&#8217;s</span></span> mind is just how much further can the market fall ? With the Dow Jones now at the same level it was at in August 2003 &#8211; no one is completely certain. What is clear is that in the current market environment, selling is being triggered by fear. Investors like certainty &#8211; that is, they like knowing that world markets are improving or declining. Insert &#8220;uncertainty&#8221; into the equation and you have what we are seeing in the markets now &#8211; utter fear. This causes investors to extract their money from the world markets at a rapid rate and cause stocks, which are sound in all other sense, to fall rapidly as large fund and institutional investors start sucking out their money and placing them into &#8220;safe&#8221; instruments.</p>
<p><span id="more-1105"></span></p>
<p>This is why the commodity and bond markets have seen such a flurry of action in the last few weeks. Investors are looking for certainty in their investments in a market that is completely uncertain &#8211; the only place than can seem to find it, is in government backed bonds and underlying commodities such as gold. Has the market finished declining ? I don&#8217;t believe so &#8211; at least not until investors stop their incansesent fear driven by uncertainty, and start realising that world bank and governments are trying to do everything to stop the markets <span>eroding</span>. The sooner people start listening, the better of we will all be.</p>
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		<title>ASX Short Selling Ban &#8211; What does it mean for you?</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/asx-short-selling-ban-what-does-it-mean-for-you/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/asx-short-selling-ban-what-does-it-mean-for-you/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Sep 2008 00:04:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ban]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Selling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smallstocks.com.au/?p=909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you have been reading the Australian and International papers recently, you will have heard that both the US and UK markets have placed a &#8216;temporary&#8217; ban on short selling in an attempt to reduce the overall volatility in the markets. Short Selling, by its inherent nature, relies on volatility as the primary element to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you have been reading the Australian and International papers recently, you will have heard that both the US and UK markets have placed a &#8216;temporary&#8217; ban on short selling in an attempt to reduce the overall volatility in the markets. Short Selling, by its inherent nature, relies on volatility as the primary element to spin a profit from a stocks negative movement. ASIC published this <a title="Short Selling Ban" href="http://asic.gov.au/ASIC/asic.nsf/byHeadline/08-205%20Covered%20short%20selling%20not%20permitted?opendocument" target="_blank">press release yesterday</a> which outlines the details of the ban. I&#8217;ve had a few emails from people wondering what it all means, and it this ban going to shut down the derivatives market &#8211; the most commonly used pre-market indicator for the Australian Stock Exchange. The &#8216;temporary&#8217; ban introduced will <strong>ban all short selling &#8211; naked and covered for 30 days on the ASX.</strong></p>
<p><strong>So what does the ban mean?</strong></p>
<p><span id="more-909"></span></p>
<p>Well firstly, we have to clarify the difference between <em>naked short selling</em> and <em>covered short selling</em>. Typical short selling is referred to as covered short selling &#8211; the practice whereby a trader sells a security that they do not own with the expectation that the value of the securities will decrease allowing them to sell the securities at current market prices and then buy the securities back when they fall in value. With enough value drop, the trader can purchase the securities and &#8216;cover&#8217; their position for less than they received for selling them earlier. Of course, if the price increases then the trader is required to cover the increase and they lose money. The difference between a &#8216;covered&#8217; short selling and a naked one is that a naked short sell is selling a stock <em>without </em>borrowing the shares. This creates a position when the seller does not obtain the shares within a specified time period and subsequently fails to deliver on their obligation. This type of short selling typically incites more negative sentiment in a stock.</p>
<p>So basically, ASIC has banned the practice of engaging in short selling for the next 30 days from today by completely banning <em>naked short selling</em> and <em>covered short selling </em>until global markets stabilize.</p>
<p><strong>So what does this mean for the market?</strong></p>
<p>Well, firstly there is no question that it&#8217;s going to stabilize the market simply because short selling has always had the compounding effect of spiralling negative market news on a stock out of control. While this is true, I find it a bit rich that the ASX has not placed a ban or restricted the trading of options and warrants in the market since the creation of adverse option positions can have the same effect (although perhaps not as drastically as short selling.)</p>
<p>Overall, I think the decision was the right one and one that ASIC should be applauded for (although *cough cough* they didn&#8217;t really have much choice). Evidently, the new restrictions are going to stir up the whole &#8216;stock lending&#8217; debate and whether hedge funds and large institutional investors should be allowed to profit from the falling prices of shares by engaging in the practice of short selling and charging fees for lending out their clients shares. They argue of course, that the profits are shared with the client and can assist in reducing their management fee&#8217;s.</p>
<p>My take on this is that short selling is useful since it help liquidity in the market &#8211; but is difficult to regulate and can often result in market manipulation. Think of this way, a big institutional lender places a short sell position on a company which may signify to the market that it knows something about the company that others do not &#8211; so the rest of the market starts short selling on the company and the companies stock is shot and in financial freefall. Of course, the company may be perfectly profitable and solvent and have no pending issues &#8211; the mere &#8216;fabrication&#8217; of negative sentiment in a market like the current one will cause a frenzy from investors who are waiting for the next big (or small) company to fall.</p>
<p>So ASIC&#8217;s decision makes sense for now &#8211; it will be interesting to see what restrictions they enforce once the market stabilises and the 30 days &#8216;temporary period&#8217; is up.</p>
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		<title>Types of Trading Systems</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/types-of-trading-systems/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/types-of-trading-systems/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 11:22:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading Systems]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=316</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many websites seek to promote there trading system as the “Most Profitable Trading System Available on the Market Today!” without actually ever specifying what type of system they are using. The number of trading systems that can be developed is only limited to the amount of people developing them. A system that you create can [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many websites seek to promote there trading  system as the “Most Profitable Trading System Available on the Market Today!”  without actually ever specifying what type of system they are using. The number  of trading systems that can be developed is only limited to the amount of  people developing them. A system that you create can be entirely different from  a system that the author creates. In saying this, there are some typical  trading models that a lot of traders develop their systems off.</p>
<p><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Trend-Following  Systems</span></em></p>
<p>Trend-Following Systems are the most common  type of system used by system traders and they are typically true to their  name. Like with Lagging, or trend following indicators, a trend following  system seeks to wait for price movement before executing a trade in direction  of the trend. Some examples of trend following systems include both the <em>Band System</em> and the<em> Moving Average System</em>.</p>
<p><em>Band  System</em></p>
<p>The <em>Band  System </em>gets it name specifically from the <em>Bollinger Band Indicator</em> which was developed by John Bollinger.  Considering the primary use for the Bollinger Band is measuring the volatility  of the security, and it is comprised of 3 separate moving averages, the <em>Band System</em> similar to that of the <em>Moving Average System</em>.</p>
<p>The idea of the system is that when a new  high or low occurs, price direction is most likely to continue in the direction  of the price breakout. A price breakout is a situation where price breaks above  a level of resistance and then continues to increase, or conversely, depicts a  situation where price breaks below a level of support and falls lower. What  this implies for the <em>Band System</em> is  that when price approaches the edge of either the upper or lower bands, a  breakout will typically occur. Most trading rules for the Band System are  derived off those for Bollinger Bands, such that prices are considered to be  overbought when price respects (touches) the upper band, and are considered to  be oversold when price respects the lower band.</p>
<p><a href="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/bbb.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-319" title="Bollinger Bands" src="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/bbb.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="266" /></a></p>
<p align="center">
<p><em>Moving  Average System</em><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></p>
<p>The <em>Moving  Average System</em> is one of the most commonly used systems to observe price  changes in technical analysis. It is Trend Following (or Lagging) System  because it based off the moving average indicator which tends to lag price. The  Moving Average Indicator is based on the idea that in an up trend, the moving  average line will lag price and therefore price will be inclined to move above  the line. Equivalently, if the up trend finishes and a down trend starts, then  price will be inclined to move below the line.</p>
<p>The Moving  Average System is therefore derived off the simple rules used by the Moving  Average Indicator itself. Basically, whenever the MA crosses the price line, it  implies that you reverse your current position. For example, if you are short  and it crosses, then close your position and go long. Equivalently, if you are  long and it crosses, close your position and go short.</p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/ma1.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-320" title="Single Moving Average" src="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/ma1.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="244" /></a></p>
<p>There are numerous disadvantages of using  Trend-Following Systems. Some of these typically include:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><em>Time Window – </em>Choosing the time window for any trend following system is       often difficult because it does involve a subjective component. It is       important to fully understand the indicators being used in the system in       order to correctly identify buy and sell signals with respect to the time period.</li>
<li><em>Whipsaws and Trading       Channels</em> – Perhaps the greatest disadvantage       with a trend following system its inability to accurately trade during       whipsaws and trading channels. Whipsaws are volatile periods of market       movement where a clear trend is not evident and price tends to reverse       directions quickly and with no consistent pattern. While leading       indicators are quite good at handling these types of price movements,       trend following systems find it difficult to account for these volatile periods       because of their lagging nature. Trading channels are periods of sideways       market movement usually confined to an upper resistance bar, and a lower       support bar. Since no trending pattern is available, it is hard for trend       following indicators to correctly identify entry and exit points in these       types of trading periods.</li>
<li><em>Lagging Effect </em>– This is a problem which is not just limited to trading       systems, but one that is limited to trend following indicators in their       entirely. These indicators are not intended to be used in square, flat or       sideways trading movement as they lag price and therefore cannot generate       accurate signals in highly volatile trading periods.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Reverse-Trend  Systems</em></p>
<p>A reverse trend system is one that involves  considerable more risk than a trend following system. This is because there is  no specific time to exit trades as the system works on the principle of buying  low and selling high. Unlike a trend following system where a specific event  must occur to exit a trade, the reverse-trend system only signals entry  positions and does not indicate when these positions should be closed. This  leaves the trader with a considerable amount of subjective judgement, something  that trading systems typically seek to exclude.</p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/rsi_system.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-321" title="RSI System" src="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/rsi_system.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="266" /></a></p>
<p>Most reverse-trend trading systems use  leading indicators as there focal point. This implies that indicators with  oscillating movements are usually the best kind of indicators for these types  of systems. The majority of entry signals occur on bullish or bearish  divergences with the primary goal being to buy low and sell high. Some of the  main disadvantages of reverse-trend trading systems include:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><em>Subjective Component</em> – Perhaps one of the greatest downfalls of reverse-trend       systems is the level of developer interpretation during its creation. The       more that a system trader relies on their own judgement, rather than that       of the system they have created – the more likely they are going to       produce failed trades.</li>
<li><em>High Risk </em>– There is no specific time to exit trades as the system works       on the principle of buying low and selling high. This implies that there       is no specific time to exit positions which increases the risk of the reverse       trending systems.</li>
<li><em>Volatility </em>– Since leading indicators are typically more useful in trading       periods, as opposed to trending periods, a higher level of volatility       usually occurs. For trading systems, this normally means that it is more       difficult to correctly use the system because volatility is so random and       will lead to incorrectly generated signals.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p>In summary, there are numerous factors and  components that we have looked at in the development and implementation of  trading systems. We have discovered the importance of remembering that Trading  Systems are complex pieces of machinery, which must been developed and tested  continuously. The more testing and practice that are conducted with the system,  then the more smoothly the translation of the system into the real world can  occur.</p>
<p>We can reiterate the Basic Rules of any  Trading System:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>The system must cover all trading scenarios so that no matter       the direction of price movement, the system can determine the appropriate       action by itself and does not require subjective intervention.</li>
<li>Regardless of price direction, complete faith must be in the action       of the trading system. It cannot be overruled and should not involve       outside judgement.</li>
<li>All indicators should be stress tested and a multitude of       different indicators should be used in the system.  All the indicators should be tested on a number       of different stocks to ensure that the profit /loss ratio is greater than       a 1-1 ratio.</li>
<li>The system should be simple and straightforward &#8211; complexity is       not correlated to trading success. A common misconception of many traders       is that they feel the more complex a trading system is, the higher the       chances they have of getting a profitable return. This is simply not case,       and often the best trading systems are based on basic principles and       straightforward ideas. The system should be as simple as possible, and the       trader should have complete faith in the system they are using.</li>
</ul>
<p>Some other useful questions that traders  may want to ask themselves when developing a trading system include</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><em>What are the Risks of       my Trading System? </em>
<ul type="circle">
<li>A Trading System must be developed according to the traders        risk preferences and investing style. There is no point creating a        trading system that is not suitable for you! Ensure that you have limited        your risk sufficiently to enable you to enter and exit trades        comfortably.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><em>Will the System make       me money?</em>
<ul type="circle">
<li>This is often forgotten in all the hype of creating a trading        system and is undoubtedly the fundamental aim. There is no point creating        a trading system that is not going to be successful, unless of course your        tax is too high and you wish to offset it with losses! Try not to look at        the dollar profit when judging the success of your trading system, but        rather the percent return as this will give you a much more accurate        picture of your success rate.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><em>Are my parameters,       indicators, timeframes, prices and settings correct?</em>
<ul type="circle">
<li>This is the most difficult question to answer and remains solely        in the hands of the trader. Only through experience, dedication and skill        can a trading system be developed that will produce profitable trades the        majority of the time. It is important to remember that each        characteristic of a trading system is just as important as the next one,        as they all interrelate in helping you to produce a successful strategy.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>In conclusion, while developing a trading  system can be difficult work and involve many hours of research and testing,  they can also be extremely rewarding to both you and your bank account. It is  important to keep in mind your desired goals for the trading system, and why  you are developing it. It is even more beneficial if you learn to detach your  emotional side from them, and concentrate on what the predefined system rules  are indicating to you.</p>
<p>Persistence, Skill, Hardwork and Faith are  all your need to create a successful Trading System!</p>
<p>Good Luck!</p>
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		<title>Building your own Trading System</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/building-your-own-trading-system/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/building-your-own-trading-system/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 11:16:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading System]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=314</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is an often daunting prospect to actually build you own trading system and many technical analysts are simply too intimidated to do so, or don’t have a solid enough understanding of the fundamental techniques to actually go ahead and do it. The very purpose of using indicators and developing your understanding of technical analysis [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is an often daunting prospect to  actually build you own trading system and many technical analysts are simply  too intimidated to do so, or don’t have a solid enough understanding of the fundamental  techniques to actually go ahead and do it.</p>
<p>The very purpose of using indicators and  developing your understanding of technical analysis is to eventually produce  your own trading system. The simplest way to achieve a completely objective  trading psychology is to produce a trading system and strictly abide to it.  Many experienced traders can tell you that by doing this, you are automating  your trading process and removing the subjective component which is typically  your devils advocate. This allows you to have no discretion when you are  trading and removes your fear of failure when making trading decisions.</p>
<p>We  hope to show you in this tutorial that while producing a trading system is  often</p>
<p>time consuming, difficult and challenging  to follow once implemented – it can have some great rewards in the long run. We  will also demonstrate some typical issues that technical analysts walk into  when developing these systems, and some easy ways to avoid these mistakes.</p>
<p><strong>What  is a Trading System?</strong></p>
<p>Although you may have thought we have  already covered this point in our opening summary – you are very wrong. A  trading system has multiple meanings and typically different technical analysts  will have diverse interpretations of how they believe the term should actually  be defined. In saying this, from the large amount of literature that the author  has examined over a number of years, a multitude of different definitions and  meanings have arisen. A constant trend noticed at the heart of all of these  definitions is simply that a trading system, in its strictest sense, is a group  of specific rules, or parameters, that dictate every trading decision a trader  makes in determining entry and exit points for a particularly security.</p>
<p>Furthermore, a trading system should  operate like clockwork. All your clogs should slot into place, and every  trading decision you set down should move like the hands on the face. This  allows for no subjective trading decisions to be made and the overall success  of your system is judged on how well you have developed your rules, implemented  your entry and exit strategies and the amount of profit you have achieved as a  result.</p>
<p>This sounds too tough for me, there is no  way I could develop a trading system! Not so – and don’t let the previous  paragraphs intimidate you. Almost all trading systems have a basic architecture  that can be followed:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>The system covers all trading scenarios so that no matter the       direction of price movement, your system can determine the appropriate       action by itself and does not require subjective intervention by you.</li>
<li>Regardless of price direction, have faith in the trading system       you have developed and don’t overrule what it is suggesting by means of your       judgement.</li>
<li>Ensure that you have stress tested every indicator and used a multitude       of different indicators in your system. Test all these indicators on a       variety of different historical data and ensure that your profit /loss       ratio is greater than a 1-1 ratio.</li>
<li>Keep it simple and straightforward &#8211; complexity is not       correlated to trading success. A common misconception of many traders is       that they feel the more complex a trading system is, the higher the       chances they have of getting a profitable return. This is simply not case,       and often the best trading systems are based on basic principles and       straightforward ideas. Remember to and try to keep your trading system as       simple as possible, and no doubt your well achieve your desired result.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Success’  and Failures of Trading Systems</strong></p>
<p>There is an immense amount of literature  regarding why trading systems are so good, and why you should purchase one  trading system over another. You have most likely seen many ads selling trading  systems that guarantee a large return, with little risk and “&gt;80% accuracy  on Every Trade!”. The majority of these systems are a farce, and when you read  into the fine details of the terms and conditions, you will be quietly  surprised with the amount of conditions imprinted on the software.</p>
<p>When writing this article, one site  promoted “<em>75% – 80% profitable trades  with losing trades no larger than the winning trades</em>” and then when the  author read more into the fine print it was quoted “<em>No promises of accuracy are made. Anything information used on this site  is done so at your own risk. We assume no liability or responsibility for  errors or omissions</em>.” This is not to say that all trading systems which  have been developed are not successful – there are many that have been – it is  simply recommended that there are no guarantees on anything, and although it may  suggest it can achieve fantastic returns, it may actually never return your  investment. A very sensible question to ask yourself before purchasing a  trading system software product is-  “Why  would anyone want to sell such a successful trading system if they could keep  the profits to themselves?”</p>
<p>Well, what do you recommend? The best way  to develop any type of trading system is to study and understand technical  analysis yourself, do the hard yards and develop your own system. This ensures  that profits you make are from your own hard work, and you cant blame anyone  else for your mistakes but yourself.</p>
<p>Some more common Success’ and Failings of  Trading Systems are Listed Below:</p>
<p><em>Success’</em></p>
<p><strong>Emotionless Trading</strong> – Trading psychology is one of the hardest stumbling blocks to       overcome in both technical trading and everyday investing. As stated in       our Risk Tutorial, investors and traders alike must ensure that they       understand their risk profile and determine the exact amount they want to       spend. The beauty of developing a trading system is that it must be       strictly adhered to and removes the emotion of trading</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Improvement of Technical       Skill– </strong><em>Without       question this is one of the greatest reasons to create a trading system.       Even if you create a trading strategy for practice, then this will be       greatly useful in the development of your skill and improvement of your knowledge       of Technical Analysis.</em></li>
<li><strong>Reduction of Time</strong> – The development and application of a trading system can       reduce the amount of unnecessary trading and reduce your overall time       commitment. This allows the trader to spend more time on reviewing hist</li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>Failure</em></strong><em>s</em></p>
<p>We&#8217;ve looked at the main advantages of working with  a trading system, but the approach also has its drawbacks. Some of these  include:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Development</strong> – As suggested earlier, the toughest part of developing a       trading system is having the strong technical background knowledge to do       so. There is no point even attempting to develop a useable trading system       if you do not understand the fundamentals of technical analysis, and know       how to apply this knowledge profitably to the market. Technical Analysts       spend many years developing these skills and they are derived from       practice, patience, experience, devotion and more importantly mistakes. If       you spend the time doing the required work, you can develop a highly       successful system that will see your bank account skyrocket.</li>
<li><strong>Brokerage Costs </strong>– Many traders forget to factor into their systems that       brokerage costs will eat into profits. There is no point in developing a       trading system that capitalises on the smallest margins, if your net       profit is eroded due to brokerage costs. The key is to factor is all costs       when creating your model and take heed that it may be impossible to test       every single aspect of your system completely. Attempt to align your       system as closely as possible to the real thing when you are developing       it. Remember that even though your system may work flawlessly in practice       – it is not until you have tested it in a real trading situation that you       will see its effectiveness.</li>
</ul>
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		<title>What is Short Selling trying to achieve?</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/what-is-short-selling-trying-to-achieve/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/what-is-short-selling-trying-to-achieve/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 11:10:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Selling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=309</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The regulation of short selling attempts to achieve three main outcomes; the possibility of trading on a falling market, the possibility to provide demand to stop further market decline and the possibility to improve the markets overall efficiency &#38; liquidity. Under the first outcome, regulation has made it possible for people to trade in a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The regulation of short selling attempts to achieve three main outcomes; the  possibility of trading on a falling market, the possibility to provide demand  to stop further market decline and the possibility to improve the markets  overall efficiency &amp; liquidity.</p>
<p><strong>Under the first outcome</strong>, regulation has made it possible for people to trade in a falling  market which is often referred to in finance as a “bear market”. This allows an  investor the ability to sell a desired quantity of a security, which he/she  does not own. The investor will in theory, borrow stock from a holder, (usually  a brokerage firm) which they consequently sell. To profit from such a practice,  the investor must rely on the falling price of the stock, which, eventually on  settlement will allow the investor to buy back the stock at a lower price in  order to close the trade. Whilst this method of trading can prove beneficial in  a falling market, if the stock were to rise, the investor would be forced to  buy the stock back at a higher price and subsequently suffer a loss.</p>
<p><strong>This follows on to the second  objective</strong> and reason behind the regulation of  short selling. Once a person decides to embark upon a short position, he must  at some point close out, and buy back the stock to settle. Therefore, when a  market is falling and sellers outnumber the amount of buyers for any particular  stock an investor holding a short position must then buy back the stock from a  seller, which would subsequently increase the buying side of the stock and  ultimately add demand to stop the market from further decline.</p>
<p><strong>The third object of short selling</strong> is to improve market efficiency and liquidity. When a stock has  risen to levels which seem higher than expected (often referred to as  overbought) where the bulls in the market have pushed the price to a figure  which the market believes is overvalued, investors may short this stock to  bring down the price to a level which the market finds more acceptable.</p>
<p>It is through these reasons why short  selling is regulated and permitted, and can therefore achieve a positive result  within the various markets which adopt it</p>
<p><strong>EXAMPLE</strong></p>
<p><strong>Short selling in Antimony</strong></p>
<p>About 15 brokers who shorted the 20 cent  stock of Antimony Nickel in February 1971. Gordon Barton held 18% after the  float, and started buying heavily. Soon he owned 105% of the stock, thanks to  the short selling. He promptly stuck the price up to $3. Alas, the Sydney Stock  Exchange suspended the stock, claiming there was not an orderly market. Sykes  claims seven of the 10 firms on the SSE committee were short sellers. This case  is an example of a “corner” where the short sellers were squeezed out as the  stock was a small company and not very liquid, no-one was selling any of the  stock. The self-regulation, in those days protected the brokers &#8211; “mates”, and  never faced the music.</p>
<p><strong>Short Selling to speculate</strong></p>
<p>The most obvious reason to short is to profit from an overpriced stock or  market. Probably the most famous example of this was when George Soros  &#8220;broke the Bank of England&#8221; in 1992. He risked $10 billion that the  British pound would fall and he was right. The following night, Soros made $1  billion from the trade. His profit eventually reached almost $2 billion.</p>
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		<title>When is Short Selling legal in Australia?</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/when-is-short-selling-legal-in-australia/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/when-is-short-selling-legal-in-australia/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 11:09:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Selling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=307</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is an explaination of Short Selling in Australia. There are relevant provisions included from the Corporations Act 2001 and the ASX Trading Rules. Options contracts on ASX Corporations Regulation 7.9.79(1)(a), where it &#8220;does not have effect in relation to a sale of financial products that is done by the giving or writing of an [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an explaination of Short Selling in Australia. There are relevant provisions included from the  Corporations Act 2001 and the ASX Trading Rules.</p>
<p><strong>Options contracts on ASX</strong></p>
<p>Corporations Regulation 7.9.79(1)(a), where  it &#8220;<em>does not have effect in relation to a sale of financial products  that is done by the giving or writing of an option registered with: (a) an  Options Clearing House Proprietary Limited</em>&#8220;.</p>
<p>s 1020B(2), which states, &#8220;<em>a  presently exercisable and unconditional right to vest the products</em>&#8220;.Here,  the Act is referring to a situation whereby a sequence of short sales would be  deemed legal if it is executed under an options contract</p>
<p><strong>Options over futures contracts on  SFE</strong></p>
<p>Corporations Regulation 7.9.79(1)(b), where  it &#8220;<em>does not have effect in relation to a sale of financial products  that is done by the giving or writing of an option registered with: (b) a SFE  clearing Corporation Pty Ltd&#8221;</em>.</p>
<p>s 1020B(2), which states, &#8220;<em>a  presently exercisable and unconditional right to vest the products&#8221;</em>.  Here, the Act is referring to a situation whereby a sequence of short sales  would be deemed legal if it is executed under an options contract.</p>
<p><strong>Arbitrage</strong></p>
<p>Arbitrage transaction pursuant to s1020B  (4)(b) &amp; ASX Market Rule 19.2 which permits arbitrage transactions to occur  as long as the Trading<em> &#8220;Participant&#8221;</em> – s761A which defines  this as &#8220;<em>a person who is allowed to directly participate in the market  under the markets operating rules&#8221; </em>– &#8220;<em>is a registered  arbitrageur&#8221;</em> &amp; sells the products on &#8220;<em>bona fide (in good  faith) arbitrage account on another market&#8221;. </em></p>
<p>Therefore, in the above sequence of short  sales the arbitrageur will buy a stock on a foreign exchange which hasn&#8217;t  adjusted for the exchange rate. The arbitrageur will purchase the undervalued  stock and short sell the overvalued stock, thus profiting from the difference.</p>
<p><strong>Offsetting contract to buy &#8211;  unfulfilled conditions </strong>(s 1020B(4)(c))</p>
<p>&#8220;before the time of sale has entered  into a contract to buy those products and who has the right to have those  products vested in the person&#8221;</p>
<p>Where payment, receipt by the person of a  proper instrument of transfer and the documents of title are present</p>
<p>This situation will arise when a trader  already has a contract to buy (ie go long) on a particular stock</p>
<p>The short sale will subsequently counter  balance the contract to buy with the contract for the quantity to go short.</p>
<p><strong>Tick test</strong></p>
<p>Restrictions on when a short sale may be  executed. Tick-test rules dictate that a short sale can be made only in two  situations:</p>
<p>1. When the price of the particular stock is higher than the last trade price  (an uptick).</p>
<p>2. In a case where there is no change in the last trade price. The previous  trade price must be higher than the trade price that preceded it (a zero uptick  or zero plus tick)</p>
<p>This rule is intended to prevent investors  from destabilizing the price of a stock when it&#8217;s falling. Also known as the  short sale rule</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Example</span></strong></p>
<table border="0" width="427" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td scope="col">
<div>$6.70</div>
</td>
<td scope="col">
<div>$6.80</div>
</td>
<td scope="col">
<div>$7.20</div>
</td>
<td scope="col">
<div>$7.00</div>
</td>
<td scope="col">
<div>$7.10</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<div>YES</div>
</td>
<td>
<div>YES</div>
</td>
<td>
<div>YES</div>
</td>
<td>
<div>NO</div>
</td>
<td>
<div>YES</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>THE ENDING PRICE &gt; STARTING PRICE<strong> is LEGAL</strong></p>
<p>THE ENDING PRICE &lt; STARTING PRICE<strong> is NOT LEGAL</strong></p>
<p><strong>Approved short sale products</strong></p>
<p>Under [s 1020B(4)(e)] the legal notion of  short selling is permitted if (i) &#8220;the products are included in a class of  products in relation to which there is in force a declaration, made by the  operator of a licensed market as provided by the operation rules of the market,  to the effect that the class is a class of products to which this paragraph  applies; and (ii) made as provided by the operating rules of the market; and  (iii) at the time of sale, neither the person who sold the products, nor any  person on behalf of whom the first-mentioned person sold the products, was an  associate, in relation to the sale, of the body corporate that issued the  products&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Short Selling Market Rules</span></strong></p>
<p>The issue of the “operating rules of the  market” in relation to the shares in question would need to be classed under  Section 19 of the ASX Market Rules: Short Selling -Traded products</p>
<p>19.3-19.7 highlights the “permitted short  selling of approved short sale products and public securities”. However, <strong>it  is under the rules of 19.7.1 which short selling is most relevant </strong></p>
<p>Here, it states, “ASX may designate a  Traded Product to be an Approved Short Sale if (a) 50 million Traded Products  of the class have been issued; (b) the market capitalisation of the Traded  Products of the class on issue is not less than $100million”.</p>
<p>Thus, if this series of short sales  satisfies s 1020B(4)(e) in conjunction with section 19 of the ASX Market Rules,  it shall be deemed legal.</p>
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		<title>Short Selling</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/short-selling/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/short-selling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 11:05:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Selling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=305</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A short sale is &#8220;The sale of a security that the investor does not own in order to take advantage of an anticipated decline in the price of the security&#8221;. In order to sell short, the investor must borrow the security from their broker in order to make delivery to the buyer &#8211; the short [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A short sale is <em>&#8220;The sale of a  security that the investor does not own in order to take advantage of an  anticipated decline in the price of the security&#8221;.</em> In order to sell  short, the investor must borrow the security from their broker in order to make  delivery to the buyer &#8211; the short seller will have to buy the security back in  order to return it to the broker with the hope it has fallen in price in order  to make a profit</p>
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		<title>Using an Online Trading Broker System</title>
		<link>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/using-an-online-trading-broker-system/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smallstocks.com.au/trading/using-an-online-trading-broker-system/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 07:03:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>SmallStocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Broker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Online]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shares]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://smallstocks.com.au.s47345.gridserver.com/?p=175</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After having read how to become broker sponsored, you now need to learn how to buy or sell shares online. In order to do this, you will have to have a broker-client sponsorship agreement already in place. Once all your new documentation regarding this sponsorship has been received, you are ready to begin the process. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">After having read how to  become <em>broker sponsored</em>, you now need to learn how to buy or sell  shares online. In order to do this, you will have to have a <em>broker-client  sponsorship</em> agreement already in place. Once all your new documentation  regarding  this sponsorship has been received, you are ready to begin the  process.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">If your <em>broker</em> has on-line facilities available, then you will also receive instructions on  how to trade shares online, and will most likely be issued with a <em>trading  password. </em>It is important to have all this documentation near you when you  begin the trading because you will be asked to enter it. This is done to ensure  your security is maximized and no one else can access your account.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Once you arrive at the  login in screen you will have to enter your relevant <strong>Login ID</strong> and <strong>Password </strong>information, issued to you in your initial  documentation. If you do not have this information in your starting pack &#8211;  you will need to contact your broker and request to have an online account  established before continuing to the next step.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Once you are logged in you  will see a whole arena of facilities that are available at your doorstep for  researching and analyzing different shares. Depending on your broker these will  usually include*:</p>
<ul style="text-align: left;">
<li>Watch Lists</li>
<li>Portfolio Monitoring</li>
<li>SMS Alerts</li>
<li>Email Alerts</li>
<li>Market News</li>
<li>Indicies</li>
<li>Market Depth</li>
<li>Company Research</li>
<li>Charting Tools</li>
<li>Current Dividends</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;">Each online broker  presents its web page in a different format, so to execute a trade you will  need to search for the <strong>&#8220;New Order&#8221;</strong> section.  Depending on the your broker, you will usually get a screen mimicking this  fabricated one below:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/buy-sell-diagram.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-176 aligncenter" title="Buy and Sell Diagram" src="http://smallstocks.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/buy-sell-diagram.jpg" alt="" width="335" height="245" align="absmiddle" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><em>Follow the steps to  transact a trade!</em></p>
<ol style="text-align: left;" type="1">
<li>Enter the <strong>ASX Code </strong>of the security you want to       purchase.
<ul type="circle">
<li>If you are unsure of the <strong>ASX Code</strong>, there will        be a facility on the web site to search for the company you want, using        its title.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Select whether you wish to <strong>Buy </strong>newshares,       or <strong>Sell </strong>shares you already own.</li>
<li>Enter the <strong>Quantity</strong> of shares you wish to <em>Buy</em> or <em>Sell</em></li>
<li>Determine whether you wish to <em>Buy</em>/<em>Sell</em> the       shares:
<ul type="circle">
<li><strong>At Market – </strong>This means that        you are willing to <em>buy/sell</em> the shares at whatever the market is        currently offering. If you don’t believe the share price is going to        fluctuate substantially during the next trading day period, or if you        want to buy/sell your shares quickly &#8211; then this is the option for you!</li>
<li><strong>At Limit –</strong> This is where you        enter the maximum value <em>(per share)</em> you believe you can <em>buy</em> the shares at, or the minimum amount <em>(per share)</em> you think you        can <em>sell</em> your shares at. For example, if your shares are        currently trading at $9.50 but you believe they are worth $10 – then you        can enter $10 dollars <strong>At Limit</strong>, and they will not be        sold until market price reaches your limit.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Either enter the amount for <strong>At Limit</strong> order/sales in the <strong>Price</strong> box or nothing for <strong>At       Market </strong>Orders/Sales and select <strong>Review</strong></li>
<li>Another screen will appear summarizing your order and       calculating the associated <em>Cost</em> <em>(if you are buying</em>) or <em>Profits       (if you are selling)</em> minus brokerage charges and GST.</li>
<li>You will now <em>(usually)</em> be asked to enter you <em>trading       password</em> which is <em>different</em> to the <em>Password </em>you       used to login. This is usually provided with your initial documentation       and should be entered if required.</li>
</ol>
<p style="text-align: left;"><em> (Otherwise proceed to next steps)</em></p>
<ol style="text-align: left;" type="1">
<li>Select <strong>Confirm Order/Sale</strong>, <em>or similar</em>,       and your online experience has been completed. The outcome of your       purchase or sale will be received in the mail as well as through other       options including <em>SMS</em>, <em>Email</em> and <em>WAP</em> if your <em>Online       Broker</em> provides these facilities.</li>
<li>Now just wait for the settlement of the shares to occur.</li>
</ol>
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